Do We Know Who Will Drop Out? A Review of the Predictors of Dropping out of High School: Precision, Sensitivity, and Specificity

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Title: Do We Know Who Will Drop Out? A Review of the Predictors of Dropping out of High School: Precision, Sensitivity, and Specificity
Abstract/Description: The purpose of this study is to review the literature on the most accurate indicators of students at risk of dropping out of high school. We used Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis to compare the sensitivity and specificity of 110 dropout flags across 36 studies. Our results indicate that 1) ROC analysis provides a means to compare the accuracy of different dropout indicators, 2) the majority of dropout flags to date have high precision yet lack accuracy, 3) longitudinal growth models provided the most accurate flags, while 4) the most accurate cross-sectional flags examine low or failing grades. We provide recommendations for future policy and practice.
Author/creator: Bowers, Alex J.; Sprott, Ryan; Taff, Sherry A.
Date: 2012
In publication: The High School Journal
Volume: 96
Issue: 2
Pages: 77-100
Resource type: en Research/Scholarly Media
Resource status/form: en Published Text
Scholarship genre: en Empirical
Open access/full-text available: en Yes
Peer reviewed: en Yes
ISSN: 0018-1498
DOI: 10.1353/hsj.2013.0000
URL: Official Publisher's Webpage (JSTOR); Open Access Article (Columbia Academic Commons)
Citation: Bowers, A. J., Sprott, R., & Taff, S. A. (2012). Do We Know Who Will Drop Out? A Review of the Predictors of Dropping out of High School: Precision, Sensitivity, and Specificity. The High School Journal, 96(2), 77–100.

Item sets: Handbook Chapter 20 Citations

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